Expedition Exchange Bulletin Boards  

Go Back   Expedition Exchange Bulletin Boards > General
User Name
Password
FAQ Members List Calendar Mark Forums Read


Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old June 21st, 2007, 03:36 PM
traveltoad traveltoad is offline
Aaron Shrier
KI6BCA
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: San Fernando Valley
Posts: 2,628
The inventor business just ain't what it used to be...

Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old June 21st, 2007, 05:07 PM
nosivad_bor nosivad_bor is offline
Rob Davison
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Posts: 1,051
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old June 21st, 2007, 05:28 PM
Matt Kendrick Matt Kendrick is offline
Matt Kendrick
KI6CGL
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Garden Grove, CA
Posts: 363
i don't know if that's him, but the guy you listed is a kook!

he writes "...the life expectancy of Industrial Civilization is less than or equal to 100 years: 1930-2030" and the slide has started. of course we hit the "cliff" in about five years, so live it up boys....


Although all primary sources of energy are important, the Olduvai theory postulates that electricity is the quintessence of Industrial Civilization. World energy production per capita increased strongly from 1945 to its all-time peak in 1979. Then from 1979 to 1999 for the first time in history it decreased from 1979 to 1999 at a rate of 0.33 %/year (the Olduvai 'slope', Figure 4). Next from 2000 to 2011, according to the Olduvai schema, world energy production per capita will decrease by about 0.70 %/year (the 'slide'). Then around year 2012 there will be a rash of permanent electrical blackouts worldwide. These blackouts, along with other factors, will cause energy production per capita by 2030 to fall to 3.32 b/year, the same value it had in 1930. The rate of decline from 2012 to 2030 is 5.44 %/year (the Olduvai 'cliff'). Thus, by definition, the duration of Industrial Civilization is less than or equal to 100 years.

The Olduvai 'slide' from 2001 to 2011 (Figure 4) may resemble the "Great Depression" of 1929 to 1939: unemployment, breadlines, and homelessness. As for the Olduvai 'cliff' from 2012 to 2030 I know of no precedent in human history.

Governments have lost respect. World organizations are ineffective. Neo-tribalism is rampant. The population is over six billion and counting. Global warming and emerging viruses are headlines. The reliability of electric power networks is falling. And the instant the power goes out, you are back in the Dark Age.
Attached Images
File Type: jpg image008.jpg (51.9 KB, 13 views)
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old June 21st, 2007, 05:30 PM
Matt Kendrick Matt Kendrick is offline
Matt Kendrick
KI6CGL
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Garden Grove, CA
Posts: 363
lol, thanks rob, now i'm late for dinner.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old June 21st, 2007, 08:18 PM
greghirst greghirst is offline
Greg Hirst
KI6CQL
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 2,289
Quote:
Originally Posted by nosivad_bor

Don't know, but driving a Pinto shows he's a risk-taker and is unconcerned about the future.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old June 21st, 2007, 08:50 PM
montanablur montanablur is offline
Sinuhe Xavier
yes
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Neither here, nor there...
Posts: 584
That's a pretty sweet Pinto... Only rivaled by the Gremlin...
Attached Images
File Type: jpg 1972gremlinbbg.jpg (104.4 KB, 5 views)

Last edited by montanablur : June 21st, 2007 at 08:54 PM. Reason: added sweet picture...
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old June 23rd, 2007, 01:51 AM
parantaeyang parantaeyang is offline
Won Park
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Ventura, California
Posts: 503
Don't forget the AMC Pacer
Attached Images
File Type: jpg PolicePacer[1].jpg (50.6 KB, 9 views)
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -8. The time now is 03:09 PM.




Copyright 2001-2012 Expedition Exchange Incorporated. All rights reserved.
Powered by vBulletin Version 3.5.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.